Pre-tourney Rankings
Northwestern St.
Southland
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating-8.8#300
Expected Predictive Rating-7.9#286
Pace72.8#63
Improvement-0.9#218

Offense
Total Offense-2.4#229
First Shot-1.7#227
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#215
Layup/Dunks-1.0#215
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#128
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#263
Freethrows+0.9#119
Improvement+0.7#142

Defense
Total Defense-6.4#320
First Shot-5.0#314
After Offensive Rebounds-1.4#303
Layups/Dunks-6.2#344
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.7#8
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#278
Freethrows-0.4#195
Improvement-1.6#264
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 66   @ Texas A&M L 44-72 4%     0 - 1 -17.1 -14.7 -6.7
  Nov 13, 2016 60   @ Oklahoma L 61-97 4%     0 - 2 -24.2 -5.1 -18.1
  Nov 26, 2016 137   @ Missouri L 60-84 12%     0 - 3 -20.1 -12.7 -5.8
  Nov 28, 2016 86   @ Mississippi St. L 59-65 7%     0 - 4 +2.1 -3.2 +4.7
  Dec 03, 2016 195   @ UTEP W 79-67 18%     1 - 4 +12.9 +14.1 -0.4
  Dec 17, 2016 260   Louisiana Monroe W 68-64 38%     2 - 4 -1.8 +1.1 -2.4
  Dec 19, 2016 158   @ Rice L 93-100 14%     2 - 5 -4.0 +11.1 -14.5
  Dec 31, 2016 319   McNeese St. L 72-79 OT 66%     2 - 6 0 - 1 -20.1 -15.6 -3.6
  Jan 05, 2017 309   @ Incarnate Word L 80-84 44%     2 - 7 0 - 2 -11.3 -6.2 -4.7
  Jan 07, 2017 207   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 82-99 21%     2 - 8 0 - 3 -17.4 +1.4 -17.3
  Jan 12, 2017 318   Nicholls St. W 86-81 66%     3 - 8 1 - 3 -8.0 -2.8 -5.7
  Jan 14, 2017 246   Sam Houston St. L 68-77 46%     3 - 9 1 - 4 -16.7 -7.5 -8.9
  Jan 21, 2017 319   @ McNeese St. W 78-65 47%     4 - 9 2 - 4 +4.9 +4.4 +1.0
  Jan 25, 2017 249   @ SE Louisiana W 85-71 28%     5 - 9 3 - 4 +11.3 +12.5 -1.5
  Jan 28, 2017 233   @ Lamar L 64-85 26%     5 - 10 3 - 5 -23.0 -11.6 -11.3
  Feb 02, 2017 314   @ Central Arkansas L 97-107 46%     5 - 11 3 - 6 -17.7 +8.8 -25.8
  Feb 04, 2017 228   Stephen F. Austin L 73-75 OT 42%     5 - 12 3 - 7 -8.8 -5.2 -3.5
  Feb 09, 2017 219   Houston Baptist L 69-86 40%     5 - 13 3 - 8 -23.2 -8.1 -15.2
  Feb 11, 2017 305   @ Abilene Christian L 72-76 41%     5 - 14 3 - 9 -10.6 -5.3 -5.2
  Feb 16, 2017 249   SE Louisiana L 66-73 46%     5 - 15 3 - 10 -14.8 -3.6 -11.6
  Feb 18, 2017 318   @ Nicholls St. W 80-78 47%     6 - 15 4 - 10 -6.0 +6.7 -12.6
  Feb 22, 2017 233   Lamar L 68-88 43%     6 - 16 4 - 11 -27.1 -12.8 -13.4
  Feb 25, 2017 189   New Orleans W 83-82 32%     7 - 16 5 - 11 -2.8 +8.0 -10.8
  Mar 02, 2017 228   @ Stephen F. Austin W 72-67 25%     8 - 16 6 - 11 +3.3 +4.0 -0.6
  Mar 04, 2017 314   Central Arkansas W 97-83 65%     9 - 16 7 - 11 +1.2 +7.4 -7.1
Projected Record 9.0 - 16.0 7.0 - 11.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 100.0
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%